GroundPulse

Pipeline Geohazard Screening — Subsidence

Galveston Bay Subsea Crossing (Bayport — Bolivar) — threat identification under 49 CFR 192.917 and ASME B31.8S weather/outside-force taxonomy. API RP 1187 does not apply: the RP covers landslide hazards only.
Generation Date: 2026-03-08
Report ID: pipeline_segment:TX-GC-SEG-0089

Corridor Map

9.8-mile natural gas trunk crossing Galveston Bay between Bayport (refinery shoreline) and Bolivar Peninsula. Subsidence zones marked along the subsea midcrossing and shoreline approaches.

Executive Summary

Risk Tier
Warning
Risk Score
67
Remediation Priority
Scheduled

Galveston Bay subsea crossing is impacted by active subsidence with high displacement rate at the midcrossing and refinery-side shoreline. Planned mitigation should be advanced in the next maintenance window.

Tier 1 - Screening

Operator Enterprise Products
Commodity Natural Gas
Diameter 24 in
Length 9.8 mi
HCA Proximity 1.4 mi
Geohazard Classification subsidence
Screening Result Escalate to targeted Tier 2 monitoring

Tier 2 - Monitoring Data

Period (days) Samples Mean Displacement (mm) Max Velocity (mm/yr) Min Velocity (mm/yr) Mean Coherence
365 30 -18.5 -24.3 -8.1 0.72

Velocity Trends: Observed range -8.1 to -24.3 mm/yr across monitoring windows. Consistent subsidence signal over 12 months.

Acceleration Flags: No elevated acceleration flag. Acceleration contribution is 0.15.

Data Confidence

Confidence
High
Observations
30
Uncertainty (±1σ)
±1.8 mm

high confidence — 30 observations over 365 days, mean coherence 0.72, uncertainty ±1.8 mm.

Tier 3 - Detailed Assessment

Risk FactorWeightContribution
Acceleration 0.15
15%
Displacement Rate 0.25
25%
Criticality 0.22
22%
Condition 0.10
10%
Geology 0.18
18%
Context 0.10
10%

Mitigation Recommendations: Schedule right-of-way survey confirmation, run geodetic tie checks, and prioritize block-valve segment review for areas with peak subsidence rates.

Alert History

SectionSeverityDescriptionLocationDate
MP 3.5–5.6 Warning Subsidence rate exceeds 20 mm/yr along the subsea midcrossing Segment TX-GC-SEG-0089 2026-02-18

Data Sources

SourceFramesDate RangeProcessing
Sentinel-1 C-band InSARF382392025-03-05 to 2026-03-05OPERA DISP-S1 v1.1 (NASA/JPL via ASF)